CLEAN - LSE SEMINAR - Mike Laforest (US Air Force Academy)

The next CLEAN seminar, in collaboration with LSE, will take place on October 16th 2024 from 4-5PM CET online.

Mike Laforest will be presenting his paper "Parole Supervision on the Margins"

Abstract

Nearly three-fourths of incarcerated individuals are released under parole supervision in the United States. However, relatively little is known about the effects of supervised release on post-release success. In this work, I first investigate the effects of early release from prison using the quasi-random assignment of interviewers to parole hearings in Pennsylvania. I find that, at the margin of release, individuals initially paroled experience higher rates of post-release recidivism than individuals released at a later date, but experience similar rates of post-release employment. Second, I separately identify and estimate the effects of the major components of parole supervision – both supervision intensity and the special conditions of parole such as curfew, placement in a halfway house, or treatment program enrollment. To do so, I leverage two separate quasi-random assignment mechanisms in Pennsylvania – recidivism risk test score discontinuities that determine supervision intensity and the quasi-random assignment of parole interviewers who select special conditions. Results differ across margins, but overall additional supervision leads to additional parole violations with little effect on new arrests or employment.

You may follow the event online via Zoom Meetings at the following link: https://lse.zoom.us/j/84117797279?pwd=q7RNnnbf3NqLVzdKbLO2AM5GFravSJ.1 - Meeting ID: 841 1779 7279 - Passcode: 744861